Rankings powered by a version of The BHP formula
Change made on 12/05/2024 – Trio upgraded to Cat 3.5
# | SCHOOL | REG | AVG | P | W | D | L | PF | PA | PD | CP | LP | WP | TTL | AVG | LAST 8 GAMES | ||||||||
1 | 1 | Paul Roos | WP | 4.78 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 339 | 130 | 209 | 39.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 43.0 | 4.78 | W | W | W | W | W | W | W | W |
2 | 2 | Paarl Gim | WP | 4.70 | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 357 | 162 | 195 | 39.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 47.0 | 4.70 | W | W | W | L | W | W | W | W |
3 | 3 | Affies | BUL | 4.61 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 307 | 180 | 127 | 30.5 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 41.5 | 4.61 | W | L | W | W | L | W | W | W |
4 | 4 | Grey College | FS | 4.57 | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 443 | 121 | 322 | 38.5 | 3.6 | 3.6 | 45.7 | 4.57 | W | L | W | W | W | W | W | W |
5 | 5 | HJS Paarl BH | WP | 4.10 | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 322 | 238 | 84 | 30.5 | 11.6 | 3.0 | 45.1 | 4.10 | W | W | W | L | L | L | W | L |
6 | 6 | Durban HS | KZN | 3.96 | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 281 | 94 | 187 | 31.0 | 11.6 | 1.0 | 43.6 | 3.96 | W | W | W | D | W | W | W | L |
7 | 9 | Monument | LIO | 3.89 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 347 | 273 | 74 | 24.5 | 12.0 | 2.4 | 38.9 | 3.89 | W | W | L | W | L | L | W | W |
8 | 8 | Oakdale | SWD | 3.83 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 235 | 193 | 42 | 24.5 | 7.8 | 2.2 | 34.5 | 3.83 | W | W | W | L | W | W | L | L |
9 | 10 | Rondebosch | WP | 3.82 | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 311 | 208 | 103 | 27.5 | 12.3 | 2.2 | 42.0 | 3.82 | W | W | L | L | W | W | W | L |
10 | 12 | Jeppe | LIO | 3.76 | 13 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 448 | 261 | 187 | 35.5 | 10.8 | 2.6 | 48.9 | 3.76 | W | W | W | L | L | W | W | W |
11 | 11 | EG Jansen | VAL | 3.74 | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 560 | 222 | 338 | 45.5 | 6.8 | 0.0 | 52.3 | 3.74 | W | W | L | W | W | L | W | W |
12 | 15 | Waterkloof | BUL | 3.68 | 11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 461 | 279 | 182 | 38.5 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 40.5 | 3.68 | L | W | W | W | W | W | W | W |
13 | 14 | Hilton | KZN | 3.66 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 305 | 169 | 136 | 27.0 | 9.6 | 0.0 | 36.6 | 3.66 | W | W | W | W | W | W | L | W |
14 | 7 | Wynberg | WP | 3.63 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 310 | 176 | 134 | 24.0 | 7.6 | 1.1 | 32.7 | 3.63 | W | W | W | W | D | W | L | L |
15 | 22 | Boland Landbou | WP | 3.41 | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 325 | 232 | 93 | 27.5 | 8.8 | 1.2 | 37.5 | 3.41 | L | W | L | W | W | L | L | W |
16 | 16 | Garsfontein | BUL | 3.37 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 191 | 237 | -46 | 4.5 | 18.7 | 0.4 | 23.6 | 3.37 | W | L | L | L | L | L | L | |
17 | 17 | Michaelhouse | KZN | 3.37 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 250 | 198 | 52 | 24.5 | 9.2 | 0.0 | 33.7 | 3.37 | W | L | L | W | W | W | W | L |
18 | 21 | Westville | KZN | 3.36 | 12 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 330 | 266 | 64 | 27.0 | 12.1 | 1.2 | 40.3 | 3.36 | W | L | L | W | L | W | W | W |
19 | 20 | Noordheuwel | LIO | 3.33 | 17 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 629 | 290 | 339 | 53.0 | 3.6 | 0.0 | 56.6 | 3.33 | W | W | W | W | W | W | W | W |
20 | 19 | Helpmekaar | LIO | 3.33 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 340 | 254 | 86 | 23.0 | 12.6 | 1.0 | 36.6 | 3.33 | L | W | W | L | W | W | L | W |
21 | 18 | KES | LIO | 3.31 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 377 | 171 | 206 | 26.0 | 3.0 | 0.8 | 29.8 | 3.31 | L | L | W | W | W | W | W | W |
22 | 13 | Northwood | KZN | 3.21 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 232 | 116 | 116 | 18.0 | 7.7 | 0.0 | 25.7 | 3.21 | W | W | W | D | L | W | W | L |
23 | 26 | Stellenberg | WP | 3.20 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 240 | 232 | 8 | 12.0 | 19.4 | 0.6 | 32.0 | 3.20 | L | L | L | L | W | W | L | W |
24 | 23 | SACS | WP | 3.19 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 259 | 261 | -2 | 23.0 | 10.9 | 1.2 | 35.1 | 3.19 | W | L | W | W | L | L | W | L |
25 | 24 | Charlie Hofmeyr | BOL | 3.17 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 290 | 123 | 167 | 28.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 28.5 | 3.17 | W | W | W | W | W | W | W | W |
26 | 25 | Framesby | EP | 3.13 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 305 | 234 | 71 | 21.0 | 10.3 | 0.0 | 31.3 | 3.13 | W | L | W | L | L | W | L | W |
27 | 28 | Grey HS | EP | 3.12 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 247 | 132 | 115 | 21.5 | 9.7 | 0.0 | 31.2 | 3.12 | L | W | L | D | L | W | W | W |
28 | 31 | Kingswood | EP | 3.07 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 305 | 159 | 146 | 27.7 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 30.7 | 3.07 | W | L | D | L | W | W | W | W |
29 | 27 | Selborne | BOR | 3.05 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 271 | 144 | 127 | 16.5 | 7.9 | 0.0 | 24.4 | 3.05 | W | L | W | W | L | W | L | W |
30 | 32 | Maritzburg College | KZN | 3.04 | 12 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 307 | 255 | 52 | 26.0 | 9.5 | 1.0 | 36.5 | 3.04 | W | W | W | L | W | L | L | W |
31 | 29 | Outeniqua | SWD | 3.02 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 255 | 259 | -4 | 15.0 | 11.6 | 0.6 | 27.2 | 3.02 | L | W | W | L | W | W | L | L |
32 | 30 | Milnerton | WP | 3.02 | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 393 | 189 | 204 | 30.5 | 2.7 | 0.0 | 33.2 | 3.02 | W | W | W | W | W | W | W | W |
33 | 36 | Drostdy | BOL | 2.91 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 244 | 268 | -24 | 22.5 | 2.6 | 1.1 | 26.2 | 2.91 | W | L | W | W | W | L | W | W |
34 | 35 | Welkom Gim | GRF | 2.90 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 306 | 302 | 4 | 28.7 | 3.2 | 0.0 | 31.9 | 2.90 | L | L | W | W | W | W | W | D |
35 | 34 | Queen’s | BOR | 2.89 | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 322 | 164 | 158 | 23.0 | 8.8 | 0.0 | 31.8 | 2.89 | W | W | W | W | W | W | L | L |
36 | 38 | Nico Malan | EP | 2.78 | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 300 | 245 | 55 | 24.0 | 6.6 | 0.0 | 30.6 | 2.78 | W | W | W | W | W | L | L | W |
37 | 37 | Kearsney | KZN | 2.69 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 212 | 289 | -77 | 10.0 | 19.4 | 0.2 | 29.6 | 2.69 | L | L | L | L | L | L | L | L |
38 | 40 | Diamantveld | GRQ | 2.63 | 12 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 416 | 228 | 188 | 29.5 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 31.5 | 2.63 | W | W | L | W | W | W | W | W |
39 | 33 | Menlopark | BUL | 2.59 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 276 | 223 | 53 | 16.5 | 6.8 | 0.0 | 23.3 | 2.59 | W | W | W | L | W | L | L | L |
40 | 43 | Voortrekker (Beth) | GRF | 2.53 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 249 | 208 | 41 | 22.2 | 5.6 | 0.0 | 27.8 | 2.53 | W | L | W | L | W | W | L | W |
41 | 42 | St Andrew’s | EP | 2.49 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 249 | 251 | -2 | 16.5 | 8.4 | 0.0 | 24.9 | 2.49 | L | L | L | L | W | W | L | W |
42 | 45 | St Charles | KZN | 2.47 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 266 | 179 | 87 | 19.0 | 3.2 | 0.0 | 22.2 | 2.47 | L | L | W | W | L | W | W | W |
43 | 44 | Pretoria BH | BUL | 2.44 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 196 | 327 | -131 | 10.0 | 14.2 | 0.2 | 24.4 | 2.44 | L | W | L | W | L | L | W | L |
44 | 41 | Marais Viljoen | LIO | 2.44 | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 260 | 241 | 19 | 25.0 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 26.8 | 2.44 | W | W | W | W | L | W | L | L |
45 | 39 | Nelspruit | PUM | 2.40 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 7 | 375 | 400 | -25 | 20.5 | 10.7 | 0.0 | 31.2 | 2.40 | W | W | L | W | L | W | L | L |
46 | 48 | Rustenburg | LEO | 2.37 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 329 | 324 | 5 | 19.2 | 9.2 | 0.0 | 28.4 | 2.37 | L | L | W | L | W | W | W | L |
47 | 46 | Pearson | EP | 2.34 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 247 | 171 | 76 | 13.5 | 7.6 | 0.0 | 21.1 | 2.34 | W | L | L | L | W | W | L | L |
48 | 51 | St John’s | LIO | 2.31 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 248 | 208 | 40 | 12.5 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 18.5 | 2.31 | W | D | L | W | L | L | W | W |
49 | 49 | Glenwood | KZN | 2.30 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 173 | 251 | -78 | 9.5 | 15.8 | 0.0 | 25.3 | 2.30 | L | L | L | W | L | L | L | L |
50 | 52 | Durbanville | WPB | 2.29 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 170 | 331 | -161 | 4.0 | 16.4 | 0.2 | 20.6 | 2.29 | L | L | L | L | L | L | W | L |
@Snelvuur (Comment #38)
Ja hy het maar gesukkel met die beserings ….en ja volgens my is die Sharks ook waar jong talent begrawe word
@Kaya 85 (Comment #36)
As Smallies said, he’s now Vice-Captain of the u20s. Scored a great try vs Argentina on Sunday. He’s still a phenomenal talent – just think he’s wasted at the Sharks. He could easily get Varsity Cup exposure if he goes to a union that participates in it.@Smallies (Comment #37)
He’s had some injury troubles, but seems to have toughened up. Think consistent rugby would be great for him.
@Kaya 85 (Comment #36)
Playd for SA u 20 in Aussie this weekend at the rugby championship….aparantly he’s no longer injured🤣🤣🤣
@Snelvuur (Comment #33)
Where is Jorenzo Julius these days? …he should declare for Namibia and get a RWC out of it…
@PRondersteuner (Comment #34)
Daardie Bishops span was warm! Jammer ons kon hulle en die 2020 span (selfs ‘n beter span) nooit regtig in aksie sien nie.
@Snelvuur (Comment #33)
Jy is reg ja. Ek het vergeet dat daar 2 wedstryde gespeel was 2021. PRG het teen Bishops en Gim weg verloor
@PRondersteuner (Comment #32)
Die uitsondering is 2021, as ek dit nie mis het nie. In daardie baie kort middel-Covid seisoen het Gim in die Paarl gewen. Jurenzo Julius het in daardie wedstryd nog ‘n mooi drie van heelagter af gedruk.
Vanaf 2018 was die besoekers die wenners tussen Gim en PRG. 2018 PRG in Paarl, 2019 Gim in Stellenbosch, 2022 PRG in Paarl en 2023 Gim in Stellenbosch
@Pypkan (Comment #29)
Selborne het n trotse rugby kultuur en was op n tyd gemaklik jaarliks een van die top 5 skole in die land ….
@Pypkan (Comment #27)
Thank you, Gim edges it
@SNELVUUR
Moet sê daar was skole met baie vollediger resultate as ander. Maar Gim en Boishaai kon mens bv. naspoor tot 1915. Gim het baie minder wedstryde teen PRG gespeel as wat Boishaai teen PRG gespeel het. En vanaf 1986 tot 1991 was daar bv. geen wedstryde tussen die twee skole nie. Deon het op ‘n kol van die
onmin melding gemaak wat oënskynlik die rede daarvoor was.
Interessant is dat Gim se “head-to-head” resultate voor geen ander skool buig nie (vir 3 of meer wedstryde teen mekaar gespeel), behalwe GCB en een ander skool. Vir my, verrassend, is daardie ander skool Selborne College.
@Pypkan (Comment #27)
Het PRG en Gim nog net 26 keer teen mekaar gespeel in die afgelope 39 jaar? Sukkel om dit te glo, maar ek het nie die volle rekords nie. Van 2009 af was daar 15 wedstryde tussen die skole (daar was in 2012 twee en in 2020 geen weens Covid). Van die 15 het PRG 5 gewen en Gim 9, met een gelykop (in 2012). Gegrond op hierdie uitslae, moet Gim gewoonlik die gunsteling wees. PRG het egter ‘n verbasend goeie rekord op die JA Kriel: hulle het in 2014, 2018 en 2022 daar gewen en in 2016 naelskraaps verloor.
(COMMENT #23)
@Snelvuur (Comment #20)
Gim in die Paarl gaan moeiliker wees as Grey in Bloem. PRG secgroot toets.
Small change to the rankings published on 11/05/2024 –
Trio upgraded to Cat 3.5.
This obviously improved the average points of all school that have played and beat Trio.
@Deon (Comment #21)
I don’t see them losing to Oakdale, Stellenberg or Boland Landbou, as tough as those teams are…
But agreed, certainly no shame if they were to lose. None at all.
@Snelvuur (Comment #20)
Do you have, or do you know where to find the PR v Gim head to head results of the last 10 – 20 years? Who is favorite this year? …and who are usually favorites?
@OUD ANKER (Comment #14)
As ek moet wed sou dit myne ook wees, in daardie volgorde.
1 GCB
2 PG
3 PRG
4 Affies
@Snelvuur (Comment #20)
Dit sou nie vergesogd, skande of ‘n opskudding wees indien PRG al hulle oorblywende wedstryde behalwe Bishops verloor nie. Gim, Grey, Wynberg, Boland LS, Oakdale LS, Stellenberg is almal groot hindernisse.
Sien baie uit vir volgende Saterdag! Gim is ‘n baie taai toffie, veral in die Paarl. PRG het, weens beserings, ‘n heel eksperimentele span (sonder hulle eerstekeuse 2, 9, 10, 11, 12 en 14) teen SACS gespeel. Die baldraers in die pak was steeds goed, maar hulle gaan op volsterkte (en firing on all cylinders) moet wees om die mas teen Gim op te kom.
Numbers 1-5 all play each other this year. Six games have been played, with two coming up this Saturday. For all of them I think each game is important as an individual clash, but as a whole it also matters in how their season will be remembered. So far it is:
PRG: 2/2
Grey: 2/2
Gim: 1/2
Affies: 1/3
HJS: 0/3
In 2023 it was:
Grey: 4/4
Gim: 3/4
PRG: 2/4
HJS: 1/4
Affies: 0/4
@Smallies (Comment #17)
Soos ek geskryf het, “many years”. Jy is welkom om die PRG om te ruil met die GCB, ek gee nie om nie, gaan oor die beginsel.
@Deon (Comment #16)
Se die ou wie se skool in 2018 deur grey gewhitewash is
@IanC (Comment #6)
Keep in mind that the example you chose, Garsfontein is one of the most difficult to gauge long term as they conjure up new players from afar solely to play first team at awkward ages. Have a look at the article by beet comparing the GCB first team vs the Garsfontein first team, a Garsie attribute that seems to be changing now. That while the other big rugby schools have always had, over 100 years or so, a massive % hostel schoolboys from say Namibia etc. who do not even play rugby but attend without bursary for reasons very different than sport, which I DOUBT is the case at Garsies.
The formula by BHP is the best I believe, but is not the same one bookies will use to bet, as, for instance, it does not take into account travelling, altitude (as bookies, top athletes do and as the top 5 sports science institutes internationally do), injuries etc.
Also, the ranking is not a SBR ranking but only a first team ranking. SBR rankings in its purest form will measure depth across all teams, and many years (not sure about 2024), big dogs like GCB and Garsies completely fail in that regard, while Affies and PRG do not.
I like the way BHP’s ranking works for first teams and think BHP’s rating is the best in the business,and giving a specific weight to a specific tier of schools. @IanC, Garsfontein, your example, just losing to a top tier team must have more weight than Garsfontein beating a low tier team. Garsfontein beat Jeppe, and Jeppe beat Grey College, and Garsfontein lost by very small margins to many top teams. So, it makes sense, as long as the formula is applied consistently.
Based on what I have seen so far, my ranking would be, with teams sharing spots:
1) Paarl Gimnasium
2) GCB
3) Affies/PRG
4) Boland Landbou/DHS/Paarl HJS.
If it is about depth, the entire school, true SBR, SBR in its purest and most important form:
1) PRG
2) Paarl Gim
3) Affies
4) Paarl HJS
@Smallies (Comment #13)
My subjektiewe top 4 is, Grey, Gim, Roos, Affies.
@Kaya 85 (Comment #12)
I’m not really a mathematitian or a statistician but In my mind a top 4 in the following order makes more sense
1PRG
2 Grey
3 PG
4 Affies
Based solely on who played who and lost to who
@IanC (Comment #6)
In my view, the more accurate ranking is the one Beet sometimes posts at the end of the season where it combines the 4 or 5 main Ranking blogs’ rankings….they are all subjective in different ways…but when put together seem the most valid.
@Kantman (Comment #9)
I’m thinking Affies have a very good chance of downing Grey next week…
And I’m also thinking Gim can take PR…
But I wouldn’t bet on it…it would tarnish SBR imo….
@tompirracas (Comment #7)
110% agree. In this ranking as much as its referred to as a formula, it is part based on subjective categories and it does not take all the circumstances that influence results into account. Venue and weather being two obvious ones.
@Kaya 85 (Comment #5)
The list suggest Grey will beat Affies away – I like the odds of that.
Also PRG to beat PG away – possible, but probability (odds) would be interesting.
@IanC (Comment #6)
Howzit. A good part of the calculation is based on a tried and trusted formula explained if you click on the sidebar to the right heading:
BHP Ranking Formula Explained Here.
The other part is a work in progress but to be transparent each ranked schools points per game has been included in the formbook above in the grey row below the results.
Garsfontein – very competitive 1st XV, almost exclusively playing strong opponents and losing by narrow margins in some of those big games.
Same can be said of HJS Paarl BH.
A measure is that HJS beat Oakdale 1st team by 9 points and the team in 25th spot just beat Oakdale 2nd team by one point. I won’t commit to saying its a good measure because if you follow schoolboy rugby for even just one season, you will realise that teams tend to be erratic and that there are numerous cases of school A beating school B, B beating school C and then C beating A. Amongst the biggest complaints coaches have week in, week out, is that they players either don’t listen or just do their own thing in opposition to what they practiced on the training ground.
@IanC (Comment #6)
You get some credit if you lose a game. Garsfontein have played 7 very strong sides. They also lost to Affies, Paarl Boys, Oakdale and Stellenberg by 7 points or less so maybe get credit for that, am not sure.
I agree it does look a bit strange. A quirk of the system I suppose.
Charlie Hofmeyr play a weaker fixture list/circuit so don’t get as much credit for their wins. They’re doing great at the moment.
It’s all explained in an April 2017 post on here. Put BHP Ranking Formula Explanation in the search box and you’ll see it.
I don’t think any of the various rankings are perfect.
As a newcomer to your site (thank you much appreciated for your efforts), I need to understand how you get to these rankings, because they do not in the slightest make any sense to me. I have tried to analyse how you are getting to these positions but it’s not making sense.
Take Garsfontein for instance, sitting in 16th in the country, who have played 7 but lost 6. These guys should be in the 50th position!
Or HJS Paarl BH who have played 11 and lost 4, and sitting in 5th in the cowntree.
How do Garsfontein as an example sit in 16th above sides who have played 8 or 9 only losing 1 or 2 matches but sitting in 25th (played 9 and unbeaten) or 28th (played 10 drawn 1 lost 2). Please explain?
@Kantman (Comment #4)
Depends who you are backing and against who?
@Kaya 85 (Comment #3)
Watse odds gee jy, sou ek ‘n gambling man wees?
1. Grey
2. Paul Roos
3. Paarl Gim
4. Affies
@agter_die_pale_pa (Comment #1)
1vs2; 3vs4 …
18 Mei…