Final Schoolboy Rugby Blog Rankings for 2024

Rankings model powered by a version of The BHP formula

One last change to the formula for 2024 is the institution of a 1.5 losing bonus minimum for any school that lost by more than 25 points to a Category 5 school.

# SCHOOL REG AVG P W D L PF PA PD CP LP WP TTL AVG LAST 8 GAMES
1 1 Paul Roos WP 4.84 15 15 0 0 572 205 367 66.0 0.0 6.6 72.6 4.84 W W W W W W W W
2 2 Paarl Gim WP 4.69 15 13 0 2 537 268 269 57.0 7.5 5.8 70.3 4.69 W W W L W W W W
3 3 Affies BUL 4.56 14 11 0 3 516 307 209 47.0 12.0 4.8 63.8 4.56 W W W L W W W W
4 4 Grey College FS 4.47 15 13 0 2 636 252 384 56.5 5.1 5.4 67.0 4.47 W W W W W W W L
5 5 HJS Paarl BH WP 4.12 16 11 0 5 471 317 154 47.5 13.6 4.8 65.9 4.12 L W L W W W W L
6 6 Durban HS KZN 3.99 15 12 1 2 396 135 261 46.5 11.6 1.7 59.8 3.99 W W W L W W W W
7 7 Rondebosch WP 3.95 17 11 0 6 476 304 172 44.0 19.4 3.8 67.2 3.95 W L L W L W W W
8 8 Oakdale SWD 3.94 14 9 0 5 398 300 98 37.0 14.8 3.4 55.2 3.94 W L L W L W L W
9 9 Waterkloof BUL 3.83 21 16 1 4 845 631 214 63.0 14.2 3.2 80.4 3.83 D W L L W W W L
10 11 Garsfontein BUL 3.76 17 10 0 7 646 487 159 41.5 18.7 3.8 64.0 3.76 W L W W W W W W
11 10 Jeppe LIO 3.75 19 14 0 5 701 388 313 55.0 14.4 1.9 71.3 3.75 W W W W W W W L
12 12 EG Jansen VAL 3.67 22 17 1 4 853 419 434 64.5 16.2 0.0 80.7 3.67 W W D W W W L L
13 16 Boland Landbou WP 3.66 17 10 0 7 455 395 60 40.0 18.5 3.8 62.3 3.66 L W W W W L L L
14 13 Hilton KZN 3.52 14 9 0 5 419 294 125 34.5 14.8 0.0 49.3 3.52 W W L W L L W W
15 14 Westville KZN 3.51 15 8 1 6 433 358 75 31.5 19.8 1.4 52.7 3.51 W L W W W D W L
16 15 Wynberg WP 3.50 15 8 1 6 438 343 95 32.0 17.5 3.0 52.5 3.50 L L L L L W L W
17 17 Michaelhouse KZN 3.47 14 7 0 7 334 293 41 28.5 18.7 1.4 48.6 3.47 W W W L W L L L
18 24 Maritzburg College KZN 3.47 18 10 0 8 459 417 42 38.5 20.7 3.2 62.4 3.47 L W L W L W L W
19 20 KES LIO 3.45 14 9 1 4 517 308 209 34.0 13.1 1.2 48.3 3.45 W W W D L W L W
20 18 Northwood KZN 3.45 13 9 1 3 353 212 141 34.0 10.8 0.0 44.8 3.45 W W L W W W L W
21 19 Stellenberg WP 3.43 16 7 1 8 406 324 82 26.5 25.9 2.4 54.8 3.43 L W W W D L W W
22 23 Monument LIO 3.39 19 9 0 10 702 588 114 36.0 25.3 3.2 64.5 3.39 L W L L L W L L
23 21 Grey HS EP 3.34 14 8 1 5 368 247 121 29.5 15.9 1.3 46.7 3.34 L W W W W L L W
24 22 Noordheuwel LIO 3.33 25 17 1 7 887 552 335 64.2 19.2 0.0 83.4 3.33 L L L W L W L D
25 25 SACS WP 3.29 19 9 0 10 436 443 -7 35.0 23.9 3.6 62.5 3.29 W L W W L L L L
26 26 Helpmekaar LIO 3.18 17 8 0 9 535 436 99 31.0 21.7 1.4 54.1 3.18 L W L W L L W L
27 27 Charlie Hofmeyr BOL 3.11 14 14 0 0 442 202 240 43.5 0.0 0.0 43.5 3.11 W W W W W W W W
28 32 Welkom Gim GRF 3.10 16 11 1 4 488 394 94 42.2 7.5 0.0 49.7 3.10 W W D W W L W W
29 31 Outeniqua SWD 3.07 12 5 1 6 298 343 -45 19.0 17.1 0.8 36.9 3.07 L W W L L L D W
30 28 Kingswood EP 3.00 17 12 2 3 563 270 293 44.2 6.9 0.0 51.1 3.00 W L W W D W W W
31 29 Nico Malan EP 2.97 17 12 0 5 450 346 104 41.5 9.0 0.0 50.5 2.97 L W W L W W W W
32 30 Selborne BOR 2.96 15 10 0 5 571 271 300 32.5 11.9 0.0 44.4 2.96 W W W W W L W L
33 33 Queen’s BOR 2.93 18 13 0 5 558 291 267 44.0 8.8 0.0 52.8 2.93 L L W W W W W W
34 34 Kearsney KZN 2.93 15 7 0 8 354 338 16 24.5 19.4 0.0 43.9 2.93 L L L L W W W W
35 35 Framesby EP 2.85 15 9 0 6 460 318 142 32.5 10.3 0.0 42.8 2.85 W L W W W W L L
36 36 Milnerton WP 2.84 17 13 0 4 580 353 227 43.5 4.7 0.0 48.2 2.84 W W L W W L W W
37 38 Drostdy BOL 2.81 15 9 0 6 386 383 3 33.0 9.2 0.0 42.2 2.81 W W W W L W L L
38 37 St Charles KZN 2.74 12 8 0 4 360 260 100 26.5 6.4 0.0 32.9 2.74 W L W W W W W L
39 44 Pretoria BH BUL 2.74 16 4 0 12 309 497 -188 13.5 29.5 0.8 43.8 2.74 W L L L W L L L
40 39 Diamantveld GRQ 2.70 15 12 0 3 560 266 294 38.5 2.0 0.0 40.5 2.70 W W W W W W W W
41 43 Durbanville WPB 2.66 14 3 0 11 330 452 -122 10.5 26.3 0.4 37.2 2.66 L W L W L L W L
42 40 St Andrew’s EP 2.64 16 7 1 8 395 411 -16 23.5 18.7 0.0 42.2 2.64 L W L L D W W L
43 41 Nelspruit PUM 2.61 20 10 1 9 557 596 -39 37.5 14.7 0.0 52.2 2.61 L L W W W W L D
44 42 Voortrekker (Beth) GRF 2.59 18 11 1 6 500 361 139 38.2 8.4 0.0 46.6 2.59 W L W W W W W L
45 45 Hudson Park BOR 2.47 18 12 1 5 502 331 171 41.7 2.8 0.0 44.5 2.47 W W W L W W W W
46 46 Brackenfell WPB 2.43 18 12 0 6 430 359 71 34.5 9.2 0.0 43.7 2.43 W L L W W L W W
47 47 St John’s LIO 2.39 14 8 1 5 485 364 121 25.0 8.4 0.0 33.4 2.39 W W W L L W W W
48 48 Rustenburg LEO 2.38 20 9 1 10 529 671 -142 34.7 12.9 0.0 47.6 2.38 W L L W W L L W
49 53 Bishops WP 2.37 17 5 0 12 309 547 -238 18.0 20.7 1.6 40.3 2.37 L L L L L L W L
50 49 HTS Middelburg PUM 2.35 19 13 1 5 565 375 190 41.7 3.0 0.0 44.7 2.35 W L W L W W W D

15 Comments

  1. avatar
    #15 beet

    @Henkies (Comment #13)
    They did split their squad for a couple of games but definitely a big ask.
    For 2025, Nories are planning to do more high profile interschools matches and will leave the NWU Cup compo. The latter is a great compo tho so hopefully they find a good replacement school

    ReplyReply
    28 August, 2024 at 19:17
  2. avatar
    #14 beet

    @Van wyk (Comment #11)
    The Wildeklawer organisers would LOVE to have Westville. I’m sure they send Ville an invite every year.
    However Westville have committed to the Grey High Festival in the recent years and again in 2025. Grey’s festival bounces around between the 1st term end school holiday and the 27 April – 01 May Public Holidays. The latter dates clash with ABSA Wildeklawer.

    For the record ABSA Wildeklawer will have ± 30 1st XV’s in 2025, so they are by no means restricting themselves to a Top 20. Northwood are expected to be amongst the new schools attending.

    Worth noting, I am expected the Grey High Festival to have the best lineup of 1st XVs in a few years. It is going to be an epic festival. DHS, Hilton, Michaelhouse, Northwood will be joining Westville. 8))

    ReplyReply
    28 August, 2024 at 19:14
  3. avatar
    #13 Henkies

    25 matches for Noordheuwel – unbelievable! You need a deep squad of players for that many games.

    ReplyReply
    28 August, 2024 at 15:27
  4. avatar
    #12 Bloktrui

    Good Day All …..please hold , your call is important to us :lol: Still waiting for NEXTGEN and BHP final rankings , will send final consensus to Beet when completed …have a great day!!

    ReplyReply
    28 August, 2024 at 14:48
  5. avatar
    #11 Van wyk

    Beet do you know if westville boys will be competing in wildeklawer next year because they came top 20 in the country this year and their 16a was top 10 in 2023

    ReplyReply
    28 August, 2024 at 12:58
  6. avatar
    #10 beet

    They are not completed. If you email me I will share what I have

    ReplyReply
    27 August, 2024 at 20:42
  7. avatar
    #9 vonke_44

    @beet (Comment #7)
    Any chance you’re able to share the Wildeklawer fixtures for next year?

    ReplyReply
    27 August, 2024 at 20:29
  8. avatar
    #8 Kantman

    @BuffPmb (Comment #6)
    Hilton and Michaelhouse do benefit in my opinion. But in fairness the points difference is marginal, and Northwood could also feel hard done by since they beat Maritzburg.

    ReplyReply
    27 August, 2024 at 19:59
  9. avatar
    #7 beet

    @BuffPmb (Comment #6)
    Yeah College is a good example.
    They agree to play Grey College and Paul Roos at ABSA Wildeklawer 2024. Most top rugby schools incl the Big Five do their very best to avoid two very difficult matches at these premier 2-day festivals.
    College then loses each by a margin of more than 40 and comes away with 3 points ÷ 18 games = 0.17 contribution to their overall average ranking points after the revision.
    For 2025 College are lined up to play Framesby (cat 4) and Diamantveld (cat 4) at ABSA Wildeklawer. So they stand a far better chance of collecting 8.0 points ÷ 18 games = 0.44 contribution to their overall ranking average points.
    That extra 0.27 (0.44-0.17) added to their 2024 average points of 3.47 takes them up to 3.75 or possibly 11th place.

    So one of the questions again is how does one equate losing by 40+ to GCB and PRG to beating a decent team like Framesby or Diamantveld, to find a satisfactory balance.

    For 2024, if College had lost to GCB and PRG by a margin 20 points per game, they would have finished in 14th place ahead of Hilton, Westville and Michaelhouse.

    ReplyReply
    27 August, 2024 at 19:52
  10. avatar
    #6 BuffPmb

    I understand the complexities, but in KZN Maritzburg College beat Hilton, Michaelhouse and Westville, yet sits behind them in the rankings. The fact that MC are the only KZN school to consistently play the “bigger” out of province teams, and not the smaller private schools in KZN seems to count against them. I would suggest that there is a fault in your system that needs tweaking.

    ReplyReply
    27 August, 2024 at 13:34
  11. avatar
    #5 Grizzly

    @beet (Comment #4)
    Ok,then we await BHP and Bloktrui for final conclusion. Just hope Garsies can make top 10 on BHP afther their near misses start.

    ReplyReply
    27 August, 2024 at 10:51
  12. avatar
    #4 beet

    @Grizzly (Comment #2)
    It is different.
    I would say the main difference is that for this ranking above, there are greater rewards for losing matches while being competitive.

    ReplyReply
    27 August, 2024 at 10:39
  13. avatar
    #3 Kaya 85

    I’m waiting for the Consensus Ranking…

    ReplyReply
    27 August, 2024 at 10:13
  14. avatar
    #2 Grizzly

    Beet,how is this ranking different from BHP or is it the same thing?

    ReplyReply
    27 August, 2024 at 07:24
  15. avatar
    #1 Kantman

    I am starting to like this ranking as a summary of the season for a team – thanks @beet.
    Waiting for the @Bloktrui combined rankings to make some comments on weighted performance vs ELO (points transfer) ranking approach.

    ReplyReply
    26 August, 2024 at 21:40

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